Riding the Market Roller Coaster

10 WORST SEMESTERS	PRICE CHANGE	FOLLOWING QUARTER	FOLLOWING YEAR	FOLLOWING 2 YEARS (ANNUALIZED)	FOLLOWING 5 YEARS (ANNUALIZED)
H2 2008	-29.4%	-11.7%	23.5%	18.0%	15.4%
H1 1970	-21.0%	15.8%	37.1%	21.4%	5.5%
H1 2022	-20.6%	?	?	?	?
H2 1974	-20.3%	21.6%	31.5%	25.2%	9.5%
H2 1987	-18.7%	4.8%	12.4%	19.6%	12.0%
H1 2002	-13.8%	-17.6%	-1.5%	7.4%	8.7%
H1 2008	-12.8%	-8.9%	-28.2%	-10.3%	4.6%
H1 1974	-11.8%	-26.1%	10.7%	10.1%	3.7%
H1 1973	-11.7%	4.0%	-17.5%	-4.4%	-1.7%
H2 2002	-11.1%	-3.6%	26.4%	17.4%	10.8%
Average	-17.1%	-2.4%	10.5%	11.6%	7.6%

10 WORST SEMESTERS

PRICE CHANGE

FOLLOWING QUARTER

FOLLOWING YEAR

FOLLOWING 2 YEARS (ANNUALIZED)

FOLLOWING 5 YEARS (ANNUALIZED)

H2 2008

-29.4%

-11.7%

23.5%

18.0%

15.4%

H1 1970

-21.0%

15.8%

37.1%

21.4%

5.5%

H1 2022

-20.6%

H2 1974

-20.3%

21.6%

31.5%

25.2%

9.5%

H2 1987

-18.7%

4.8%

12.4%

19.6%

12.0%

H1 2002

-13.8%

-17.6%

-1.5%

7.4%

8.7%

H1 2008

-12.8%

-8.9%

-28.2%

-10.3%

4.6%

H1 1974

-11.8%

-26.1%

10.7%

10.1%

3.7%

H1 1973

-11.7%

4.0%

-17.5%

-4.4%

-1.7%

H2 2002

-11.1%

-3.6%

26.4%

17.4%

10.8%

Average

-17.1%

-2.4%

10.5%

11.6%

7.6%

Saving For Retirement

What Are Your Options?
What is the best investment plan to use to save for retirement? It used to be fairly simple; the answer was maximizing your RRSP. Do you know what is the best strategy for your situation? Do you know what your options are?

Here is a basic overview:
1. Save – The first rule of thumb to be concerned about is that you are saving money for your future. Too many Canadians are spending all of what they earn and not putting away any money for their future. A good place to start is to aim at putting away 10% of what you make.

2. Tax Efficient – Ever since the launch of the TFSA, there has been a debate by financial professionals over which investment plan is more tax efficient to use, the RRSP or TFSA? My opinion is that it depends on your situation both now and in the future and should be looked at on a case-by-case basis to see what fits best. I would be cautious if a financial advisor is always only promoting one plan type over the other, both have their benefits. (For more info on TFSAs, see my article from Sept 2013 – http://jaybrecknell.ca/demystifying-tfsa/)

3. Business Owner – If you are a business owner the question can get even more complex as you have more options. Should you use your RRSP, TFSA or instead save your retirement funds in a holding company? Since corporate tax rates are at an all time low in Canada more business owners are saving corporately versus in a RRSP or TFSA. There can be many benefits to saving corporately as it can provide flexibility to the business owner. As this can be complex it needs to be put together by a professional that understands your corporate structure and the tax and legal rules that are involved.

As with any financial strategy we would recommend ensuring that you have your personal situation reviewed by a professional to make sure that is done in the best way possible. If you have any questions or would like your plan reviewed feel free to contact us.

Questions?

December 1, 2014/by Vince Olfert

Insurance, Personal Planning

Protecting Your Biggest Asset

The Most Overlooked Risk
What is your biggest asset? Most people might answer your house, boat, car, or investments. When in fact it is your income and your ability to earn a living.

When I review a person’s financial situation, one of the most common areas that is overlooked is to protect their ability to earn a living. Disability insurance is a critical part of a person’s risk management plan. When you think about all of the things that people have insurance for, cars, houses, electronics, death, etc. Unfortunately if you do not have an income all of these other areas fall apart.

When it comes to managing risk, a financial planner looks at two main factors:
1. Risk – what is the chance of this happening?
2. Impact – If it does happen, what is the potential damage?

As an example, the risk of a house fire is low but the damage it can cause financially is extreme. Hence why people buy home insurance.

The Risk Is High:
Did you know that 1 in 3 people, on average, will be disabled for 90 days or more at least once before they reach age 65?*

The Impact Can Be Severe:
How long could you survive for without your income? Most families could last maybe 4 to 6 months before they would have to start selling other assets such as investments or their home. How would you survive till age 65 and then into retirement?

The main way to manage this risk is to have long term disability insurance to protect yourself in case of an illness or injury.

Possible Options:
1. Canada Pension Plan – This will only pay for the most severe disabilities and the amount is small.
2. Worker Compensation – This only covers you if it is a work related injury.
3. Group Plan – This is how most Canadians are covered. IMPORTANT! You should have your coverage reviewed to make sure you are properly protected.
4. Individual Plan – You can purchase this through the major insurance carriers.

Key Facts:
• If you are an executive or earn over $80,000 per year and you have group coverage you should have it reviewed, as you may not be fully protected.
• If you have group coverage your plan definition typically will change after 2 years of being disabled. This can allow the insurance company to decline your coverage if your disability is not severe enough. This is done to keep your rates lower for your group plan. You can get individual insurance to protect against this.
• The definition of a disability policy is critical.
• Most disability insurance is designed to cover you till age 65; some may have only a 5-year benefit period.

Questions?

*Source – “A guide to disability insurance”. Canadian Life & Health Insurance Association

December 1, 2014/by Vince Olfert

Investments, Personal Planning, Retirement Planning

UK Pension – Left Behind…

Did Your Pension Move When You Did?
Do you have a UK (United Kingdom) pension? There are a good number of British expatriates who are now Canadian residents that have pensions back in the UK. Have you forgotten about that plan from an old employer? Do you know your options?

When I create a retirement plan for a client I review what savings and pensions they may have. Quite often, past pension plans can be forgotten or misplaced, so this exploratory part of the process is critical so that nothing is missed. Read more

December 1, 2014/by Vince Olfert